In the 2019 general elections, except for the Thiruvananthapuram Lok Sabha seat, the NDA candidate stood third and secured 15.64 per cent vote share.

On the other hand, UDF, which won 19 seats, got 47.48 percent votes and the Left Front, which won only one seat, got 36.29 percent votes.

An analysis of 20 Lok Sabha constituencies shows that, while Prime Minister Narendra Modi and other BJP leadership claim that there are going to be big surprises this time, the data tells a different story.

Things may not be as easy as the BJP leadership is thinking. In the 2019 elections, the BJP candidate in Thiruvananthapuram constituency alone got more than three lakh votes and stood second.

BJP candidates could secure more than two lakh votes in only four constituencies, Pathanamthitta, Thrissur, Palakkad and Attingal.In nine constituencies NDA candidates got more than one lakh votes and in six constituencies their candidates could not even get one lakh votes.

Of the 20 constituencies, NDA candidates got the least number of votes in Kannu (68,509) and the most in Thiruvananthapuram (3,16,142).

As things stand now, a very clear triangular fight has emerged in Thiruvananthapuram, where the BJP candidate, Union Minister of State Rajiv Chandrashekhar, is facing off against sitting Congress MP, Shashi Tharoor, and CPI candidate Panniyan Raveendran.

Actor-turned-politician Suresh Gopi is fighting India Blow Partners in Thrissur.

Other constituencies where the BJP is trying its best are in Attingal, where Union Minister of State for External Affairs Muraleedharan is facing off against sitting Congress MP Adoor Prakash and CPI (M candidate V Joy), and its candidate in Palakkad.Local BJP veteran Krishnakumar is pitted against CPI(M)'s A Vijayaraghavan and Congress's VK Srikandan.

In Pathanamthitta too, the BJP is expecting a tough triangular fight as it has managed to bring in Anil Antony, son of veteran Congress leader AK Antony.

Although Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan and AK Antony have already publicly said that the NDA will not even finish second in any constituency, AK Antony went a step further and said that the BJP's best days were in 2019 when the Sabarimala temple was built. The issue was at its peak and this time they would just make noise and finish third.